Four games on the upcoming schedule feature a pair of teams that are in the playoffs entering Week 13 of the 2019 NFL season. Three first-place teams are road favorites. Seven teams with losing records are getting points at home.
Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 13, as well as updated betting odds at Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Betting lines and trends are courtesy of OddsShark.
chicago Bears (-3.5) at Detroit Lions
Both teams have anemic offenses. As bad as Mitchell Trubisky might be, the Lions will have a worse quarterback, whether it’s Jeff Driskel or David Blough under center. Chicago’s defense is still an elite unit, ranking fourth in both yards and points allowed. Detroit doesn’t do anything well at this point. This game could be similar to their Thanksgiving matchup last year when a defensive touchdown was the difference in a Bears’ victory.
Prediction ATS: Chicago
Buffalo Bills (+6.5) at Dallas Cowboys
Dallas’ inability to beat good teams makes it hard to pick the Cowboys as such big favorites. The team is 0-4 against opponents that have a winning record. Buffalo enters Thursday’s contest with an 8-3 record, ranking third in total defense, points allowed and opponents’ yards per play. Dallas’ No.1 ranked offense has only scored 31 total points in three matchups with teams that are in the top 10 in yards allowed per play.
Prediction ATS: Buffalo
New Orleans Saints (-7) at Atlanta Falcons
Look for New Orleans to get some revenge for their 17-point loss to Atlanta a few weeks ago. Drew Brees was sacked six times in the loss as the Saints were held to just nine points. Things could be a lot different Thursday, considering New Orleans has a top-10 scoring offense and only four teams have given up more points than Atlanta. The Saints are 6-3 against the spread in their last nine meetings with the Falcons.
Prediction ATS: New Orleans
Tennessee Titans (+2.5) at Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee looks like a completely different team with Ryan Tannehill under center. The Titans would’ve beaten the Colts in Week 2 if they had a competent offense. With Marlon Mack out and T.Y. Hilton uncertain to play as he continues to deal with a calf injury, Indianapolis could have trouble reaching the end zone against the No.10 scoring defense.
Prediction ATS: Tennessee
New York Jets (-3.5) at Cincinnati Bengals
Sam Darnold and the Jets’ offense is on a bit of a roll. The Bengals might be lucky to even win one game this season, considering how hard it’s been for them to move the ball. Cincinnati has scored more than 17 points once in its last 10 games. New York is fourth in opponents’ yards per play.
Prediction ATS: New York
Washington Redskins (+10) at Carolina Panthers
The Redskins finally picked up their second win of the season, but the team did it without scoring an offensive touchdown. Dwayne Haskins continues to play poorly in the NFC’s worst offense. With the Redskins scoring no offensive touchdowns in four of their last five games, Carolina might only need 20 points to cover the spread. Washington is 3-7 against the spread in its last 10 games.
Prediction ATS: Carolina
San Francisco 49ers (+6) at Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore might be the best team in the NFL, but San Francisco is getting too many points Sunday. The 49ers have the league’s No.1 ranked defense after holding Aaron Rodgers to 104 passing yards on 33 attempts. If anyone can slow down Lamar Jackson and stop the Ravens from having another easy victory, it might be San Francisco.
Prediction ATS: San Francisco
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1) at Jacksonville Jaguars
The Bucs continue to put up a ton of points each week with Jameis Winston consistently throwing for over 300 yards, as well as multiple interceptions. Nick Foles and the Jaguars’ offense will have a hard time keeping up. Jacksonville’s defense hasn’t been very good since losing Jalen Ramsey. The Jaguars are 0-5 against the spread in their last five games against an NFC opponent.
Prediction ATS: Tampa Bay
Green Bay Packers (-6.5) at New York Giants
The Packers will bounce back in a major way against the Giants, following their blowout loss in San Francisco. Aaron Rodgers will carve up what might be the worst secondary in the NFC. Green Bay’s defense thrives on getting to the quarterback and creating turnovers. That’s bad news for Daniel Jones, who’s taken the third-most sacks and can’t hold onto the football.
Prediction ATS: Green Bay
Philadelphia Eagles (-10) at Miami Dolphins
It’s hard to pick Philadelphia as a double-digit road favorite against anybody. Carson Wentz has been a disappointment with little help from a depleted receiving corps. The Eagles’ offense has been responsible for fewer than 23 points in six of the team’s last seven games.
Prediction ATS: Miami
Cleveland Browns (-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh was only a 2.5-point underdog in Cleveland two weeks ago. Even with Devlin Hodges replacing a struggling Mason Rudolph, the Steelers shouldn’t be getting two points at home against a mediocre Browns’ teams. Pittsburgh’s defense is good enough to win the Steelers this game and keep them in the playoff picture.
Prediction ATS: Pittsburgh
Los Angeles Rams (-3) at Arizona Cardinals
The Cardinals can certainly win this game, considering how lackluster Los Angeles’ offense has been. Arizona almost beat San Francisco twice, including a road game against the 49ers’ No.1 ranked defense that saw the Cardinals put up 26 points in an impressive effort. Jared Goff looks like the NFL’s most overpaid player with a sub-70.0 passer rating in three straight games.
Prediction ATS: Arizona
Oakland Raiders (+10) at Kansas City Chiefs
This should be one of the most fun games on the Week 13 schedule. Both teams will score a lot of points, but Patrick Mahomes shouldn’t let the Chiefs lose a game that will essentially give them the AFC West title. Derek Carr will bounce back from his worst performance of the season when he faces a mediocre Kansas City defense.
Prediction ATS: Oakland
Los Angeles Chargers (-3) at Denver Broncos
The Broncos already beat the Chargers in Los Angeles. Philip Rivers can’t stop making a few terrible throws each game that prevents L.A. from winning. Taking the points is probably the best option in one of the worst games on the schedule. The Chargers are 1-5 in their last six games in Denver.
Prediction ATS: Denver
New England Patriots (-3.5) at Houston Texans
The Patriots’ offensive struggles are going to cost them a game sooner or later. It could happen Sunday night against Deshaun Watson and the Texans. New England’s offense has been responsible for 20 points or fewer in four straight games. The Patriots lost to Baltimore and barely survived in Buffalo in their only road contests against winning teams.
Prediction ATS: Houston
Minnesota Vikings (+3) at Seattle Seahawks
It’s hard to go against Russell Wilson in primetime. The quarterback seems to always play his best on national TV. The Seahawks have a Thursday night win over the Rams and a Monday night victory in San Francisco this year. An improving Seattle pass rush that has 10 sacks in the last three games could make life difficult for Kirk Cousins. The Vikings scored just seven points in Seattle on “Monday Night Football” in 2018.
Prediction ATS: Seattle
Season Record: 81-93-2